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Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on July 4?

Weather
Recurring
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Chicago
Daily Temperature
Highest temperature
July 4
Probability0.1%
24h Change-0.1%
24h Volume$10K
Trade
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?

Closes today
Polymarket
1h0.0%
7d0.0%
30d0.0%
Bid / Ask0.0¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.10¢
Vol 7d$12K

Probability history

Recent activity

Resolution

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution source

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