Predpulse
Economy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?

Economy
Finance
Fed Rates
Treasuries
US Inflation August
Recurring
Probability93.0%
24h Change+51.5%
24h Volume$3K
Trade
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

Closes in 5d
Polymarket
1h-1.0%
7d0.0%
30d0.0%
Bid / Ask92.0¢ / 94.0¢
Spread2.00¢
Vol 7d$3K

Probability history

Recent activity

Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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